How It Works
Everything you need to know.
How markets are priced, how FX settlement works, and how you collect your winnings.
01 / Market Pricing
Automatic pricing via AMM
Arculate uses an Automated Market Maker. The contract itself sets prices based on how much liquidity flows to each side. No orderbook. No market makers needed.
When more money flows to YES, the YES price rises automatically. The price at any moment is the market's implied probability.
Live probability example
Market opens
$10,000 flows to YES
$25,000 flows to YES
Price = probability. Always transparent.
How FX Settlement Works
You have
You get (if you win)
FX Rate: 1 USDC = 0.924 EURC
One transaction. No extra steps.
02 / FX Settlement
Native FX settlement via StableFX.
When you bet on a EURC market using USDC, Arc's StableFX converts your tokens in the same transaction. You never leave the app. There is no separate swap step.
At resolution, winners receive payouts directly in the market's settlement currency EURC for European markets, USDC for US markets.
03 / Resolution
Transparent, verifiable resolution.
Every market specifies its resolution source before it opens. For crypto markets, Chainlink price feeds resolve outcomes automatically onchain. For macro markets, the admin triggers resolution based on official announcements.
Every resolution is recorded onchain with a transaction hash verifiable by anyone at any time on arcscan.app.
Chainlink Price Feeds
Crypto markets are automatic
Federal Reserve
Fed rate markets are manual
European Central Bank
ECB markets are manual
04 / Fees
Simple, transparent fees.
2% protocol fee on winnings only. You never pay to enter a market or absorb a fee when you lose.
Entry fee
Free
No cost to place a prediction
Losing fee
None
Losing costs only your stake
Winning fee
2%
Only when you profit
Powered By
Built on Arc.
Arc is Circle's Layer-1 blockchain, stablecoin native, sub-second finality, and StableFX built in. The only chain where a multi-currency prediction market makes sense.
Sub-second finality
Positions confirm in under 1 second
Native FX routing
StableFX handles USDC↔EURC automatically
Stablecoin gas fees
Pay in USDC, no volatile ETH needed
Circle secured
USDC and EURC issued by Circle
Ready to predict?
Arculate is live on Arc testnet. Connect your wallet and make your first prediction today, for free.